BG Thank you. Sheena Iyengar. Thank you Sheena.

Sheena Iyengar on the art of choosing

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Deflation is almost always bad.

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Has Global Stag Deflation Arrived?

Why Deflation is Good News for Europe

Deflation in many advanced economies.

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Debt, deflation and other maladies are purely symptoms of Japan's disease.

For example, the US experienced chronic deflation at the 19 th century's end.

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But deflation is painful and cannot realistically be pursued for political reasons.

In terms of price performance, that's a 40 to 50 percent deflation rate.

With bad debt left to fester on banks balance sheets, growth vanished and deflation set in.

Indeed, excessive wage deflation is likely to have negative effects on productivity.

Growth there remains anemic, and deflation lingers, suggesting a need for monetary stimulus.

Deflation increases the real (inflation adjusted) debt burden, as well as the real interest rate.

But the more immediate problem remains deflation, given high unemployment and excess capacity. If the economy recovers more robustly than I anticipate, spending can be canceled.

But the more immediate problem remains deflation, given high unemployment and excess capacity.

Deflation will be the overriding topic when America's Federal Reserve Board meets on June 24th.

The risks associated with inflation are probably less dangerous than those generated by collapsing output and the threat of deflation.

The result is that, while VME is very 68000 like, the 68000 is generic enough to make this not an issue in most cases.

No one wants to live with the trauma of the deflation (falling prices) that Japan has repeatedly experienced.

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As the now ten year old Japanese slump tells us, once deflation and contraction have established themselves, standard policies stop working.

And, with adjustments in different sectors occurring at different speeds, deflation would fuel massive distortions in the economy.

Hungary, where democratic backsliding appears to be taking hold, provides a foretaste of a Europe in which the eurozone crisis and deflation persist.

But deflation is associated with persistent recession (see Argentina again), and no country s society and political system can accept years of recession and fiscal austerity to achieve real depreciation.

One is deflation that reduces prices and wages by 20 30 .

Likewise, a rapid deflation in prices and wages, known as an internal devaluation, would lead to five years of ever deepening depression.

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Indeed, except for deflation ridden Japan, central bankers could meet just about anywhere and see high and rising inflation.

Deflation increased real interest rates and curbed economic activity, thereby setting off another round of deflation, and so on.

America's commitment to a rapid return to the gold standard prevented an increase in the dollar price of gold, so deflation ensued.

Now the worries are about a stagflationary supply shock say, a war with Iran coupled with a deflationary demand shock as housing bubbles go bust. Deflationary pressure could take hold in economies that are contracting, while inflationary pressures increase in economies that are still growing fast.

One could, of course, argue that the SGP should be scrapped, because austerity makes no sense when the eurozone faces the risk of deflation.

That has been the story for the last 20 years in Japan, owing to persistent deflation and near zero interest rates on many assets.

Deflationary pressure could take hold in economies that are contracting, while inflationary pressures increase in economies that are still growing fast.

Adhering to the gold standard during the Great Depression implied a deflationary monetary policy bias, since it required keeping interest rates relatively high to encourage investors to hold deposits in banks rather than demanding the gold that backed them. Once a country eliminated convertibility into gold, it was free to pursue monetary expansion, and deflation tended to end.

The BOJ changed course a year ago when it committed to maintaining low interest rates until deflation ends.