At first glance, it seems plausible.

Neither scenario is very likely.

Indeed, that outcome appears likely.

And it does seem likely that such strategies will continue.

Today, as world growth decelerates, secular stagnation seems plausible once again.

It looks increasingly likely that, as under Leonid Brezhnev, we will see the same names in the news for decades to come.

That vision is more plausible than one might think.

In short, it is more likely that moderating investment will exacerbate the consumer slowdown than that an acceleration of investment will offset it.

At that point, international intervention would be more likely than ever.

This scenario will become even more plausible following Russia's admission to the WTO.

India has become an accepted, legitimate member of the nuclear club, the fiction of the NPT notwithstanding. It is even less likely that China or Russia would disarm for the sake of a nuclear free world.

It is even less likely that China or Russia would disarm for the sake of a nuclear free world.

States have the greatest capabilities, but non state actors are more likely to initiate a catastrophic attack.

A cyber 9 11 may be more likely than the often mentioned cyber Pearl Harbor.

But it is more likely that 2006 will just be another year of malaise China s significance within the global economy is still not large enough to offset weaknesses in the rest of the world.

Tom seems friendlier than before.

Steven Weinberg, the Nobel laureate, once said, The more the universe seems comprehensible, the more it seems pointless.

In the current political environment, the dangers to the ECB from outside political interference are much greater from raising rates too fast than too slowly.

In fact, European assurances that arms sales to China could be controlled and threats to an ally avoided do appear unconvincing. On the other hand, economic interdependence between Taiwan and mainland China has grown to such an extent that an armed conflict is increasingly unlikely.

On the other hand, economic interdependence between Taiwan and mainland China has grown to such an extent that an armed conflict is increasingly unlikely.

But the role of size is more complex than it seems.

Indian society seems to have become more globalized than its government.

Moreover, global warming appears to be increasing the intensity of storms.

With today's technology, this seems all the more possible.

Even with policy changes, it takes time for governments to restore their credibility. Until then, markets will keep pressure on sovereign spreads, making a self fulfilling crisis likely.

A continuation of today s commodity price boom seems more likely, for it has more of a new era story attached to it.

Until then, markets will keep pressure on sovereign spreads, making a self fulfilling crisis likely.

Instead, as the credit crunch and housing price decline continue, an epic mortgage bailout appears increasingly likely, possibly costing US taxpayers a trillion dollars or more.

In his recently released book 59 Seconds, Wiseman sets out the things that you can do to make success more likely

Just as in Darfur, where China s perceived support for the Sudanese government translated into harsh criticism and threats to brand the 2008 Olympics the Genocide Games, China s backing of the Burmese generals, particularly if the death toll rises, could cause similar problems.

Indeed, an Olympic boycott will become more likely if scenes of murdered or brutalized Buddhist monks are flashed around the world.

But it even seems to form the heart of our humanity.

The United Nations seems more paralyzed than ever.

But these days, it seems like a much more covert operation.

Although the collapse of the common currency area owing to political squabbles seems unlikely at this point, it cannot be ruled out entirely.

Against this background, it seems likely that the new world order will resemble the bipolar order of the Cold War but only on the surface.

The strategic partnership that both America and the European Union have at times sought with China looks both more plausible and more desirable with democratic India.

DAVOS Today s world seems more risk laden than ever.

Today, the prospect of their return seems more distant than ever.

Perhaps more convincing, there seems to be historical precedent for such a partnership.

Over the course of this project, Ukraine seemed to become a more dangerous place.

ABC management seems to have learnt a political lesson from the earlier controversy.

The existence of an ocean is more likely if water contains a small amount of ammonia or other antifreeze, up to 5 by weight.

But, for now, a complete meltdown seems distinctly less likely than gradual stabilization followed by a tepid recovery, with soaring debt levels and lingering high unemployment.

Life, however, is more complicated than the Bush Administration believes.